Viewing profile — ivanonymous

It's a bad reply! Narrowly because it's actually unfair point by point, as you say. And slightly dishonest, because Scott does in fact entertain ideas that are scandalous to an exp…

Besides close monitoring of people on O2 to adjust amounts and intubate if that time comes, there are potentially other components of supportive care that might alter outcomes, lik…

That ~90% figure is wildly misleading. It's based on 282 deaths among the 320 ventilated patients who either died or were discharged. But 831 patients were still on ventilators! It…

An outright cure at a year strikes me as unlikely, given the record with anti-virals. But improvements in supportive care (anticoagulants?) and lucky repurposing might win meaningf…

That framing implies that all the relevant actors have committed to strategies that they'll see through to the end. Learning from what's happening in Sweden should help guide decis…

My understanding is that there are variable lags up the chain, and some states don't report deaths for months. NYC as it happens is a relatively prompt reporter. Not sure if there …

Sampling uncertainties aside, this is super sensitive to mis-estimating the false positive rate. Which they seem fairly likely to have done, using an estimated test specificity of …

I don't think the CDC/WHO recommendations started as a noble lie, just as a medical/bureaucratic orthodoxy, consistently expressed before any shortage. The orthodoxy drew too sharp…

These workers would be dependent contractors in Germany or Canada, I think. Defining that in-between category in the US would allow for some useful compromises. Especially because …

I'm curious as a non-expert what's specifically worrying about their privacy model? My intuition is that rapid adoption of a relatively transparent privacy-preseving option could p…

I don't want to discourage you, but please don't take your experience as a justification to ignore medical evidence and advice. Kidney function is most often estimated indirectly, …