Viewing profile — huorricannes

in fact US army publicly admitting running a disinformation campaign involving flying planes knowing they would be seen by osint in the previous Iran attack from last summer

occam doesn't work in financial markets. because if it did you would print money by following occam.

the other side can and many times is an arbitrageour which has positions in both the prediction market and the real market

the betting markets offset positions with the real markets. it's all connected

intentionally/unintentionally is not relevant. it's legal to follow FBI cars and see who they raid so as to make trades. you could even have a hedge fund specialized on this. it's …