Viewing profile — hdivider

I think what doesn't get surfaced enough is that the cost of AI tokens is likely to decrease as new computing hardware gets scaled, such as neuromorphic (or later, photonic) comput…

The strategy for many folks will likely be to wait it out until the next administration when hopefully some amount of sanity returns. The question buried in much of the detail: the…

I think the main concern would be escalation, e.g. Netanyahu feeling emboldened to use his weapons too. And of course Putin, to try to shock Ukrainian forces and population (good l…

Let me articulate the thing which I believe is on many people's minds: What is the chance the president will order a nuclear strike on Iran as this war proceeds? We would hope the …

Even if clearly one side is correct without any doubt whatsoever, beyond any question? Such as 2+2=4 -- we should accept a situation where some people insist this is not true? It s…

I agree entirely. HN tends to be incredibly nitpicky and dystopian. I think it's because so many HNers work in dystopian software-only companies, not doing much in the physical wor…

This is far bigger than people think. So much advanced equipment is just sitting there in labs, waiting for humans to finally go and make experiments. Which they eventually get rou…

Yes, precisely. And then as I anticipated, the "it works for me" stories, even here in this thread. Wish we could get past this steady-state in the Linux ecosystem. Imagine a Linux…

I really hope you're right. The challenge with Linux still seems to be practicalities -- like in particular, does Zoom run well on most distributions? Reports seem to be of system …

Here's a standard-structure, VC-funded, exit-oriented startup to consider: make video calls reliable. As in, you provide a guarantee and pay the customer if the call didn't work. W…

I saw "cleanroom as a service" and thought great! Don't need to build a facility to do materials science or photonics or certain aerospace R&D...but nope, not that kind of cleanroo…

It's curious to me why we have no theory of intelligence. By which I mean an actual hard and verified theory, as in physics for gravity, electromagnetism, quantum mechanics. Intell…

This is a good counter in my view to the singularity argument: https://timdettmers.com/2025/12/10/why-agi-will-not-happen/ I think if we obtain relevant-scale quantum computers, an…

Wait till the Chinese land on the Moon first in this new space race. There will be a Sputnik moment, massive additional investment, and this will inevitably impact sci-fi. Just lik…

Yes to both I'd say. The south polar region will be contested because of the presence of water-ice and abundant sunlight.

I agree there is a lot of chaos over there, and numerous challenges. But I don't see China collapsing anytime soon, nothing like the Soviet Union. It's going to be a long-term spac…

This space race is different for one core reason: China is more stable than the Soviet Union was in the 1960s. If we beat the Chinese somehow, I don't think they'll just dismantle …

Even that would be quite niche for OpenAI. They raised far too much capital, and now have to deliver on AGI, fast. Or an ultra-high-growth segment, which has not materialized. The …

This always reminds me of a fragment of lost tragic ancient Greek verse, quoted only in Aristotle's Art of Rhetoric : Often, when the gods bring great prosperity as a gift for men …

Here's what I don't understand. Developers who get excited by agentic development put out posts like this. (I get excited too.) Other developers tend to point out objections in ter…

In short: yes. It can be done. Clean, almost limitless energy, funded in a way to provide effectively free electricity for ordinary people. Restrictions would have to be in place t…

Excellent thank you. This helps an extraordinary person in need who currently can't afford legal services. To everyone else: I've worked with Peter before and he's the real deal, a…

Hi Peter, Asking for someone else: is the NIW category still backlogged? If the goal is to get a green card within the STEM-OPT extension timeline of 2 years, for someone who has v…

I think it's partly because we all just have way too much to do. Every day. All day. And the harder you work, it seems the more you have to do. On top of cognitive processing of al…