Viewing profile — goolulusaurs

According to this page: https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models#preview Preview models are given at least two weeks notice between deprecation and shutdown. However, the depre…

The reality is that o1 is a step away from general intelligence and back towards narrow ai. It is great for solving the kinds of math, coding and logic puzzles it has been designed…

In my younger years, particularly during my schooling, I held a deep resentment towards the educational system. It felt overtly clear to me, as a student, that schools failed to ef…

It depends on what you mean by "this discussion", but I don't think that follows. If for example, we were in scenario 2 and it was still the case that a large number of people thou…

>It was clear that nukes were a risk before they were used; that is why there was a race to create them. Yes, because there were other kinds of bombs before then that could already…

> So far, 100% of those which are as intelligent as humans have dominated the planet. This is a much more subjective claim than whether or not the world has ended. By count and bio…

Consider two different scenarios: 1) Throughout history many people have predicted the world would soon end, and the world did not in fact end. 2) Throughout history no one predict…

Well, for example I believe that nukes represent an existential risk, because they have already been used to kill thousands of people in a short period of time. What you are saying…

Throughout history there have been hundreds, if not thousands of examples of people and groups who thought the end of the world was imminent. So far, 100% of those people have been…

Sure, but don't they have a vast network of contact tracing? Presumably if a bunch of cases showed up that weren't connected to any other cases because of the lockdowns then that w…

Well its been years, why haven't they found the reservoir yet then? They would obviously want to since it would prove that it wasn't a lab leak, yet as far as I know they haven't c…

IMO, it seems obvious from the behavior of China's government that they know it is a lab leak. If it wasn't a lab leak, then presumably there is an animal reservoir of the virus so…

There is a lot of negativity towards the idea of AI in this thread, and I feel like someone has to say it: it is quite likely that in the near future computers will be better than …

"assuming the conclusion" is a much better way to refer to the original concept, IMO.

I don't get why everyone assumes that Havana syndrome is fake. I mean it could be fake but it doesn't seem implausible that it is real either. I seems like everyone jumps to the co…

It's a cybernetic feedback system. Dalle is used to create new images, the images that people find most interesting and noteworthy get shared online, and reincorporated into the tr…

Sure, maybe it is possible if the residents are okay with the CCP taking over, but on the margin everyone being armed makes them taking action much more costly. Guerrillas were abl…

Yes, I think if literally every single person in Hong Kong had a gun that would be enough to stop the CCP. The entire active military of China is about 2 million people, less than …

"Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun." The thing that could have saved HK was legalization and widespread private gun ownership. Yes, there would have been more gun cr…

Thanks for the recommendation. I am a big fan of Weber, not familiar with Deming but his work sounds very relevant. In general I tend to agree that beyond a certain size organizati…

When I was younger I was aware of the idea of perverse and misaligned incentives, but I never would have expected the extent to which they pervade practically every human instituti…

Today everyone is like "remember when we didn't spend all of our time looking at our smartphones?" 15 years from now everyone will say "remember when we didn't have these computers…