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But the claim is not "it's going to happen", the claim is "it is inevitable that it will happen", which is a much more stronger claim.

You really think that Hiroshima would have been worse if instead of dropping the bomb the USA somehow got people addicted to social media ?

Some accounts of free will are compatible with materialism. On such views "free will" just means the capacity of having intentions and make choices based on an internal debate. Obv…