Viewing profile — fasthands9

I do think Apple needs a better Siri, but I think ultimately they were smart not to plow tons of money into it trying to do it themselves. A better Siri is an expense to keep up th…

Fun idea. The memes are very funny, but I also am unsure what to make of it. Is the "unusually busy" feature mean like once a year business or one out of every ten days?

I am not bearish on AI by any means, but don't really get why Apple needs the best AI in-house other than to improve Siri. That doesn't take 500B. As long as you can download apps …

I definitely read less than I used to. I think in the past some books didn't need to be the length they are. I still like narrative non-fiction and for those the level of detail is…

>The provision was squeezed into the bill, nicknamed the “Big Beautiful Bill,” in May. It is designed to prohibit states from “[enforcing] any law or regulation regulating [AI] mod…

I think this is mostly right, but also I'm not sure I agree completely with the premise. Humans have years of conversations they've heard before they attempt to read or write. They…

If anything I imagine law and cases to get more complex. Less lawyers may be needed for any one case, but that should just make it more possible for lawsuits for smaller amounts of…

This is my favorite type of art.

It is interesting. My two theories would be a) people at top schools follow these meta-discussions more and are therefore are more likely to be ahead of trend b) someone who could …

I've long thought that if AI can start solving unsolved math problems we are in for a very weird (or bad) future, since at that point it really can come up with things that no one …

I'm not anti self-driving cars in general, but I do think as they get more popular they should be taxed extra for every mile they drive without a person (or at least without cargo)…

Yeah. For understandable reasons that is covered a lot too, but AI 2027 is really about the risk of self-replicating AI. Is an AI virus possible, and could it be easily stopped by …

I feel like that's true for most economic things but is that necessarily the case for things such as computation? For instance, my understanding is that computers have been getting…

I do agree generally with this, but AI 2027 and other writings have moved my concern from 0% to 10%. I know I sound crazy writing it out, but many of the really bad scenarios don't…

There is an element that when it becomes cheaper/easier it cancels each other out. Spam became cheaper/easier but that just meant people were less trusting of random emails. It pro…

>For their study, the team assigned three groups of participants – students 18 to 39 years old from five universities in the greater Boston area – to write an essay, with the first…

Even then you have to be careful. It would be trivially easy to build an algo that beats the market 90% of years but 10% has huge losses. Just construct a slightly levered portfoli…

In college (about 15 years ago) I worked for a professor who was compiling precint level results for old elections. My job was just to request the info and then do manual data entr…

I wouldn't touch Uber stock, but the PE ratio is only 15. My guess is the market is expecting them to be able to still grow in the next few years even if they eventually face tough…

Interesting Q - though I predict they will largely look the same. They may have more battery charging stations or replacement batteries (especially for stations on an interstate) b…

That's very fair. Index funds are conventional wisdom now, but I do suspect there was a long time where they were undervalued because fees were high. Now, everyone is encouraged to…

When I was born in 1990 my grandparents spent like 5k on government bonds that my dad didn't tell me about until I was 30. It was a very nice treat, but when I did the math to see …

The thing is I imagine the LLM would be able to write a code that counted the lines and outputted what is on line 27. It seems inevitable (in a way that scares me) that a good mode…

I find these discussions hard to decipher because usually the headline is not capturing what really happened. At the same time, I really can easily imagine many scenarios where AI …

I feel like there is a market effect where people gravitate away from fake content. There are a lot of subreddits where people post text stories. Ten years ago I think these were m…