Viewing profile — fanzhang

It's not just RNG. Men are known to have more variance so top record holder can be a very different spread than the 10th best person of each gender.

If they put the sign up first, you wouldn't know how much more information you'd need to give before doing a search (just a string), and that seems like it would undersell themselv…

Bingo -- analysts of Trump are way too overeager to attribute "4D Chess" super analytics driven goals to Trump. In reality, he's doing exactly what is on the tin: reducing tariffs,…

Mostly because the definition of decent life has shot upwards way faster than economic standards. From fixed standards, the median kid being raised today is doing way better than 1…

Agree that this is how papers are often judged, but strong disagree on how this is how papers should be judged. This is exactly the problem of reviewers looking for the keys under …

Yes -- all the people I know withdrawing from small banks are going to Chase or Morgan Stanley. These largest banks have to mark-to-market their losses and have a lot of cash (shor…

Does this show that current markets are working? Seems like the lowest cost energy storage solution are NG peakers, and it does seem like the US has a lot of gas energy production:…

If this were a concern, a user can easily bypass this by having a work-for-hire person add a minor transform layer on top of the DALL-E generated images right?

A lot of replies on twitter critique dang on moderating their comments. But in reality, I think this is a good thing. There are already enough near-total-free speech zones on the I…

The Copenhagen interpretation of ethics: you're automatically morally neutral if you don't take action. https://blog.jaibot.com/the-copenhagen-interpretation-of-eth...

Ah okay thanks for replying. That's great to hear you're speaking from experience then. Did you need to convince your spouse of it or was your spouse for it all along? Sometime I t…

Is this something you've done yourself (either cohabing or getting married is fine), or is this more theoretical / speculative?

Well for almost any service, people would rather prefer it to be free than paid, so it's almost an instinctive emotional reaction. Google being huge makes it a particularly easy ta…

When I first heard about LIBOR in 2002, I was surprised that the number is just based on a survey of bankers. Surely there would be accuracy issues with that? But at that time I wa…

Some classes must be more equal than others!

Another view is that it's a great illustration of the relative price trends in the last 50 years. Healthcare has gone way up in price, and tech way down. What was a supercomputer 5…

Technically anything is "possible" -- but what does the Bayesian weight of evidence say at this point?

Is there any evidence of this in the data above (or elsewhere)? Labor productivity is a low degree-of-freedom datapoint and your explanation is indirect and has a lot of degrees of…

Is there not a single dimension in which the paper is novel? If not, it seems like a mistake to publish this.

It would be way more convincing if the Arthur used primary historical source documents to justify this as a myth. For example, if he could find an old architect who wrote that the …

Your hypothesis of "bullwhip effect" would predict that global inventories are increasing (thus causing a surge in demand). However it doesn't square with all the graphs in the art…

First, a nitpick about a theme prevalent in psychological research: drawing sweeping conclusions from a single specific experiment. Here the "broad conclusion drawn" is that depres…

Crazy. Was this just the result of a typo? Perhaps not, considering: - The transaction sender set both the max total fee and the max priority fee to above 10 million. Most UIs requ…

Good point. To add an exception to the original article then, perhaps the only general method to detect fraud is the trivial method: assume everything is fraud. In practice though …