Viewing profile — ericd

I found Laguna S to be pretty good at coding, pretty fast, but pretty bad as an agent - not proactive, would frequently stubbornly argue things that weren't true, and pretty bad ge…

Good question, I heard it on a podcast, but going back to the transcript, looks like that's their forecast, not that they've hit it, they estimated a current $70B, but they've been…

Maybe, maybe not. Personally, I hope local AI eats their lunch so that the benefits are more decentralized and accrue more to society generally. I don't think you're right about th…

They have something like 80% gross margins, are at a $100B/yr ARR, and are growing at 10x per year... If that keeps up, they're going to be doing more revenue than Google in a year…

I don't think that's quite fair. Computers have been my hobby since I was 4, I'm having a blast, this is so much fun . I've always had way more ideas I wanted to try than I've had …

Our colo experience was pretty smooth, nothing insane like that, and saved us a bundle. Apparently ymmv. I hate working with AWS APIs by comparison, some of the worst UX I've ever …

Funnily enough, I seem to remember some people saying that compiler generated assembly wasn’t as good as handmade assembly.

For sure, it's not going to be the same, but we need to be able to feed our missile launchers for more than a couple of weeks if we get into a peer conflict. That means building a …

If by heavy industry you mean shitloads of steel production, I mostly agree, but if you count things like domestic rare earth minerals processing, semiconductors, solar, batteries,…

Well, manufacturing capacity was the basis of US military dominance, which was the underpinning of the post WW2 US-led world order. That's pretty clearly eroded, and we're not sure…

Heh well and encryption/decryption.

Your home router is a pretty good place to run some services… Highly recommend running VPN so you can access your home network from anywhere.

401ks don’t guarantee results for a given amount of input, and people still stuff away lots into them?

Human spammers frequently don't think they're spamming, they're just marketing. They'd say they wouldn't consider spamming, either.

You can kind of get a sense by running these things at home - I'm currently running Laguna. One interesting thing is that per stream doesn't actually slow down that much with multi…

I appreciate you taking the time to look it up so the rest of us don’t have to.

My list would be to go grab GLM5.2, Deepseek v4 Flash and Pro, and the various sizes of Qwen 3.5/3.6 dense and MoE, along with at least one of the multi modal qwens (I think it’s c…

The per token costs plummet with more concurrents. A box that can do 100 tps at request depth 1 might be able to do 3000 tps at request depth 64. Less per thread, but massively mor…

Well, there are generally strategic government uses.

Ah good counter, hadn’t seen that. Proven?

Did they give those secrets to US private industry?

I wasn’t talking about spying on Chinese firms, I was talking about firms worldwide. And I said nothing about conscience.

Right, talking about behavior in living memory.

One big difference is that the US doesn't have much public record of using state espionage resources to steal industrial secrets to give domestic industry a leg up in the market, w…