Viewing profile — epvgwwqe

It's plausible that GPT-4 getting worse is just a cash grab by OpenAI. Release a powerful yet expensive to run model, push its transient virality to get people to sign up for month…

It obviously depends on the person and their approach. Nobody is confused why elite athletes can run faster/longer but there is a lot of debate about "work-life balance". Being a "…

The conclusion rather trivially follow from the notion of "lucky events" baked into the model. That doesn't prove much.

You don't need to be a Chief Risk Officer to know that a huge low yield long-term bond is a liability in a high interest rate environment. Clearly they thought the party would neve…

The 2008 financial disaster led to regulations on banks which largely seem to avoid the need for govt bailouts of the big banks, but these regulations only patched up the type of i…

Making depositors whole isn't coming from taxpayer money, it's coming from FDIC and potentially higher fees on banks if it's needed as a function of the end result of SVB liquidati…

You don't need to pay a bank higher fees for the bank executives to make adequate financial decisions

Do you know the definition of a government tax?

No. SVB price crashed 50% in one day and got downrated by Moodys, which exposed a bunch of red flags that would have resulted in a bank run regardless of what VCs said.

You can't throw the baby out with the bathwater. If the entire ecosystem is hurt it will affect the next Raytheon/Microsoft as well.

Positions that claim depositors in SVB should not be made whole must be missing a whole lot of context. There is a sequence of screwups here by the government and then by SVB which…

Are you for real? There is an AI arms race with China, for one. There is critical innovation across all segments happening in Silicon Valley, including defense.

Autonomous highway driving is not easier than urban, if anything for the typical Lidar-based approaches it's much harder due to limited Lidar range and very long stopping distance …

If there is precedent for that, then sure they could win.

Seems pretty doubtful. Is there any high impact scientific discovery that AlphaFold directly enabled at this point?

That's not all. Softbank's oversized investments into hype machine companies drove investors away from funding legitimate companies in those spaces. The approach of throwing huge s…

I did a postdoc at a top 5 institution and found it to be an ideal transition point into the startup world. I was pretty sure a few months into it that I would leave academia, and …

This is a bad case of body dysmorphia. The amount of variance in mating success attributed to a 3 inch difference in height is far less than improvements in personality/fitness/suc…