Viewing profile — eldavido

Yeah I think there are two problems First: we may have gone too far toward anti-pollution. China has more naval vessels than the US. Everything changes when peace isn't a foregone …

Vincent - nice work on this, there's clearly a good kernel of insight here, and I can tell you've been at this a couple years. I completed a (rather large) contract to reverse-engi…

I'd be interested to see concrete examples of this, if they exist.

Hard agree with both points--this feels way closer to reality than most of what I've read. On recession: cost of living is becoming crisis-level. I read recently that 67% of Americ…

The blue-collar version of this, which I think distills the essence well: "Does life start when you clock in, or clock out?" Very critical difference in mindset and the reason a lo…

It's 11 people. It's a band breaking up, not Microsoft choosing its fourth CEO.

I tried to automate a big chunk of property management (mostly commercial) over the past few years. The main thing I realized is that it's mostly a people business, and AI (or comp…

I think these aren't more popular because actually, there are things that genuinely suck about small business ownership. Offhand: stress, uncertainty/having to make payroll, having…

A perspective I've found helpful is to think about a fund as a business, which it is. Let's assume a hypothetical case of running a $100 million tech investment fund. The first 10-…

This analysis sounds very "smart" but in my opinion, contains little of substantial value. Just make something a lot of people want, but can't currently get. That's the recipe.

Maybe the bigger lesson is that, beyond family and a few close friends, the world doesn't generally care how you feel? You way of saying it is nicer, granted.

Grad school...with all the politics to match.

So I think it's worth discussing this a bit. Maybe there was a time when this wasn't true. I spent a lot of the 2010s working in San Francisco tech jobs. It was quite enjoyable and…

I think this portends a larger culture shift in Silicon Valley tech that, in my opinion, cannot come quickly enough. Here you've got a guy, 18 years at Google, probably earning som…

Bit of unsolicited advice. It's very possible you've had a great career as a programmer. But for better or worse, high schools are academic environments where you can't write "elli…

Keep in mind this has to include downside protection to cover the very real risk of someone initiating a suit in case they screw up (which I'm sure happens from time to time). I th…

Not really. 20-30% effective on income including CA's 9.4% at ~40k, plus 10-20k in property taxes, 10%+ in sales taxes, excise taxes on everything from gasoline to alcohol, and var…

The problem with licensure is that there are many markets where the number of licensed professionals is zero. My wife reminds me of this--she grew up in rural Idaho, where many thi…

This is it. There's real skill in creating simple solutions to complex problems. Knowing the general landscape of what's out there, and easily available off the shelf, really does …

You want to make it hard on yourself, that's your business.

I think this is more in line with how hiring works for senior jobs. I've been part of 50+ hiring decisions and do it like this. Social stuff is absolutely the first thing I'm check…

I think we're going to see a lot of this. I worked in self-driving and the stuff always 95% worked. Never 100. This is useful in some ways. Thinking about situations like pre-relea…

Forget management. This post is about the proper exercise of power. Don't run from it. Parents, landlords, even political leaders deal with this stuff. First, good leadership is so…

I used to feel this way. But then I realized this is the natural push/pull of conservatism against progress. Incumbents get old and conservative. New companies crop up and try to d…

Honestly, good luck trying. Seriously. (Fellow founder here.)