Viewing profile — edouard-harris

> But the existence of commoditised AI implies model selection isn’t a huge deal, which in turn implies the models are about the same, which strongly implies there is no recursive …

> The agents have sandboxes, but those are loose. Not enforced by anything outside of the agent harness itself. You might want to check out Ant's open source srt [0], I use it to c…

What AOC actually said was (linked in the essay): "You can’t earn a billion dollars. You just can’t earn that." That is a strong claim - a claim of universal impossibility - but it…

> with no means of significant revenue generation. OpenAI will top $20 billion in ARR this year, which certainly seems like significant revenue generation. [1] [1] https://www.cnbc…

Somewhat dated (10 years old), but a classic and probably the best single place to get started: https://www.amazon.com/Essays-Warren-Buffett-Lessons-Corpora...

Deterrence is usually the reason why a category of nation-state aggression doesn't exist. Otherwise, the fact that we've never had a global nuclear war would be sufficient to prove…

Rearmament is deterrence. Unless you have a big enough stick, you can't deter anything.

Without commenting on the overall plausibility of any particular scenario, isn't the obvious strategy for an AI to e.g. hack a crypto exchange or something, and then just pay unsus…

> In R1 they saw it was mixing languages and fixed it with cold start data. They did (partly) fix R1's tendency to mix languages, thereby making its CoT more interpretable. But tha…

I may be misunderstanding you, but it sounds like you're claiming that they had e.g. 10 tiny samples of tissue, that their measurements had an average 25% variation across those 10…

By definition, in that limit they'll be genuinely adding to the discourse so presumably they should stay. Edit: More correctly, they'll be making contributions to the discourse tha…

X also comes right after W, just as the Spring batch will come right after the Winter batch.

At capability levels high enough that they credibly pose a risk to national security, they obviously won't be.

The point of the paper isn't that the model has a direct value conflict. It's that the model expects to be trained in the future in a way that conflicts with what its values are in…

True, but the overwhelming majority of that growth in percentage terms occurred prior to their recent decline into despotism. Xi didn't take power until 2013, and it took him sever…

> a thinly disguised probabilistic and compressed database of other people's code Speaking as a software engineer, I feel seen.

If accurate, this is an extraordinary statistic: > Assuming a full-time worker dedicates approximately 2,000 hours annually, 575,000,000 hours ÷ 2,000 hours/FTE = 287,500 FTEs. Thi…

The author does address this possibility in a reply: > it's very unlikely to be someone else because pricing is astronomical. you also have to "contact sales" to get access to anyt…

I've read the application. In fact I've filled it out three times, once successfully and twice not. It is indeed an excellent exercise. Among many other things: if you're a first-t…

That's true but there's also a countervailing dilution effect. Hard to know exactly where those two lines intersect.

There's no Kia-specific crime wave in Canada as far as I know (I live there). But there's absolutely a general crime wave of car thefts in Canada, and it's quite plausibly tied to …

In what way was their usage incorrect? They simply said that the brain just predicts next-actions, in response to a statement that an LLM predicts next-tokens. You can believe or d…

> Results are "strong" but can't be felt by the user? What does that even mean? Not every conversation you have with a PhD will make it obvious that that person is a PhD. Someone c…

All of that is true. Some more useful context: 9 out of those 11 cofounders are now gone. Three have either founded or are working for direct competitors (Elon, Ilya, John), five h…

It's roughly in the style of a children's picture book. That's the same style the best startup pitch decks are written in.