Viewing profile — don_esteban

No, that is your wishful thinking. Based on recent years and the power of personalized AI influence campaigns, the winning Presidential campaign message (after 4 years of 'change n…

This. I lived in a communistic country, where BBC/Voice of America/Radio free Europe were banned/jammed, under the pretext of 'your feeble minds will not be able to resist the insi…

No, the point is that with human in the loop the downside is (usually!) rather limited, as common sense would stop obvious fuckups (ok, not always, but still). With an agent (espec…

There are two thresholds. Below the lower threshold, you have to worry too much about money to just get by. Unfortunately, too many people live below this threshold. Even in rich c…

You know, convincing the masses to 'work super hard' is a good trick. Too bad you have to work super hard until you drop dead, never managing to build that nest egg. Surely you jus…

It is exactly like that. Yes, there are exercise nuts who are exercising like crazy, but the average population is getting weak and obese. The same with mental muscles. How many pe…

Eh, that has limited applicability. Ideally, you can simulate everything from first principles. That works well enough only for a rather limited set of systems. More typical is tha…

Fixing the politics is still necessary, and rather urgent. (Yes, I don't see how.) Otherwise we are in for a great societal upheaval that might make low price of solar irrelevant.

And, for what is is worth, this is what ChatGPT tells me: Here are the approximate recent (2024–2025) GDP per capita figures for the two countries: China Nominal GDP per capita: ab…

Now, think about all the own goals the USA and Europe has made in the last couple of decades. And, btw, China actually does comfortably have the largest economy (PPP, i.e. the real…

You still have your blinders on. Where did I say that the treasure had to borrow money? It creates money out of thin air. What I implied is that creating too much money raises infl…

The problem with meddling is the unintended long term consequences. Did the historical record teach us nothing? Are you sure that meddling in Russian internal affairs would result …

To me it seems that you are ideologically opposed to anybody having the leverage over Fed, and believe Fed has overpowered magic. There is no point repeating what maxglute wrote ab…

> No Japan or China or anyone else who owns treasuries can not control the yield on the US Treasuries because that is controlled by the Fed. The Fed has near infinite power to inte…

Hm, maybe this is your misunderstanding: - the fiscal position (the amount of debt the US owes) does not change by Japan selling the US treasures to other (non US) party - but the …

We are going in circles. Anybody with large enough holding of US treasuries has leverage over the US: Large selling of those treasures will raise the yield on them, which is the la…

1. US actually bought Yen with Euros, not with dollars. The time will tell whether that will be a good trade for them. 2. What do you mean by 'No it would not'? I am not sure what …

Because Japan would sell its treasures to buy dollar with which to buy Yen, pushing the yield on US treasures even higher, speeding up the debt spiral. Similar as the credit-swap l…

If that was the case, that elaborate listing of all things that might look like a proof to a naive student, but are actually not proofs (and not even just partial results, but fund…

Yeah, and Chinese (before that: Japanese) cars will always be crap. Times change, believing in your never ending superiority is foolish.

The thing is that an expert in the area does not need the detailed how-to guide/complete description of the process. Few hints here and there can help to get over the key hurdles, …

Actually, I think that the analogy with the steam engine is a very good one. Prior to the steam engine, almost all energy used by the human civilization has been generated by human…

the fact that such things have to be explicitly in the prompt points to the fact that the underlying system is still far from where it needs to be (basically, lacks basic understan…

Eh, some conjectures have counterexamples. This one might be one of those. ;-)

Well, there are not that many proofs from 'The Book'. We are a bit ahead of time, currently I would settle for 'as easy to understand as possible' proof. Not a long, complicated, i…