Viewing profile — danielharan

It's not clear that shipping the sugar to where the cacao is, then shipping refrigerated chocolate is any better than shipping unrefrigerated cacao mass to the North where it's mil…

The chocolate has to be shipped cool, requiring more energy. That said: more and more producing countries are doing initial processing (roasting and grinding into liquor), and deri…

I live in Québec. We never had mass tracking - this was FUD about the app, which did NOT share data... and that level of privacy protection is also why it was difficult to prove it…

For a lot of executives and business travelers, the alternative is flying in the night before and getting a hotel room. A night train is a much, much better option.

I learned about AI by participating in the challenge, and ended up co-founding an AI company as a result. Netflix got more than 1 million dollar in free advertising from it, and ar…

There's a genetic component - as there is for Openness, which is higher on the West than the East Coast of the US. So, maybe ADHD types were the first to leave Europe for the Ameri…

You are far wiser at 19 than most founders I've met in their 40's. Some of the best business advice I got was from pitching VCs. Even if pitching is not what you want to do now, it…

If there's a board, it may be worth it to let some members know. Should those board members do nothing, you now know to avoid their companies in the future :)

The Braille example really establishes the importance of that context for me. Thank you!

I'd use a snowball, to convey the growing nature.

The NY study is preliminary, not peer reviewed. The sampling strategy used over-represents people going out, and we have no information on which test was used or its accuracy. Give…

Many of those people testing positive were presymptomatic (some even developed symptoms during the follow-up period). It typically takes several days to develop symptoms. Also wort…

Solar's gone down in price 80% in a decade, and is still continuing that downward trend. Wind, both on and offshore, is also getting cheaper. By 2030, new solar will certainly be c…

We shouldn't let him anchor to those numbers. More than 10k is already a catastrophe, and difficult to justify given the advance warning. Everything in excess of that is a shocking…

Some of the things they did initially were counterproductive; isolating carriers is actually much better than sending them home to infect family. I saw figure of 75% of cases being…

They're getting flack from other epidemiologists for doing just that. Curve-fitting the AIDS epidemic suggested it would peter out in 1995. We only have the same curves if we put i…

That really doesn't answer the question. That methodology looks extremely dodgy, and merely having funding from the Gates foundation doesn't make it right.

So, you're just assuming other jurisdictions are going to have a curve that looks like Wuhan's? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Farr#Law_of_epidemics

Combining outputs would be awesome. Given comments on the Good Judgement Project, a lot of people are using the wrong reference class, so have bad base rates. The work could easily…

By that logic, no country's emissions matter, even China. Meanwhile, if you want to convince other countries to reduce their emissions, it's much easier when you're part of the sol…

It's 7% of emissions caused by fossil fuels, not 7% of the fuels: coal is the worst of them. Australia's emissions are smaller, however they enable much larger emissions elsewhere.…

That is a completely relevant article, and anyone downvoting this is just willfully ignorant.

Thunderstorms and fire tornadoes say your theory is correct: https://qz.com/1779572/how-australias-massive-bushfires-are-...

How do you reckon the impact of climate change is marginal?

Australia exports more like 7% of total fossil fuels by CO2, according to this: https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2019-08-19/australia-co2...