Viewing profile — collective-intl

The track record is pretty good, even including a bunch of small markets with few traders: https://manifold.markets/calibration

We're using prediction markets to improve our product, by crowdsourcing suggestions with betting. I'm a Manifold cofounder. Ask me anything!

Can't handle discussion and evidence opposing your worldview? That's the mark of a weak mind. If only we could shut down all contrary evidence to the expert consensus. That would t…

This is, unfortunately, the left's view of the undiscussable: ignorant quackery. But a real heterodox environment can foster discussion on real ways the current consensus is lackin…

The USA was founded on the idea of limited government. It was very successful! Government only gets bigger over time. Even early 20th century America had a tiny fraction of our bud…

How can we stop all the flag killing on HN? It's 90% censorship.

This is a very NPC comment.

Thank you. Unbelievable how many people would rather no one try anything new at all. This article and the responses show the worst of HN -- bad faith attacks, no attempt to give th…

You mean politics that's not on your side.

+1 I don't know why you are being downvoted, I think HN's flagging system is another way we are being censored. Just this summer, I remember multiple articles with important, true …

It's upsetting that this article is flagged. Is there no room for discussion of alternative views? Censorship is not the answer. Funnily enough, it may actually harm the BLM moveme…

AS3 added classes and static typing on top of ECMAScript, but lost out to regular ES3 in browsers. In a surprising twist of history, AS3's ideas were rediscovered years later with …

I actually don't think the data and graphs prove their point. Millenials are young and so the appropriate comparison has to be to to other generations when they were the same age. …

Sounds like a success. The city grew huge until an equilibrium was reached that slowed growth. With restrictive zoning, you would just have a smaller, poorer city which fewer peopl…

I'm truly saddened to see the reaction people are having to Sidewalk Labs' project. The current feeling in the air is to distrust and hate any project touched by a large tech compa…

So what harm have all these privacy invasions caused? Frankly, I think they make me better off. - Google or YouTube search history helps show me more relevant search results. Ditto…

Personally, I think Google would be much more competent at designing a good city than the government. Privacy fears are way overblown. It's popular right now to hate on big US comp…