Viewing profile — caeril

Apparently you forgot the WHO's catastrophic missteps during COVID? At some point, you need to fire your under-performing partners.

Is there an argument here beyond armchair psychologizing? GPT-3 is over 4 years old. The writing was on the wall then. FAANG status-strivers had plenty of warning to maybe stop blo…

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These models are far better teachers for my kids than their actual teachers. they are far more engaged, able to go down rabbit holes guided by their own curiosity, and end up learn…

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Really? Let's hypothesize that some rando on the internet contacted you and said he was Jensen Huang, and he offered to sell his NVDA stock to you at $50/sh (currently trading at $…

It depends on the complexity of your campaign. Back in the day when I played D&D, we had a DM who would throw together typical hack-and-slash-and-loot campaigns, in which you wante…

> > which could include sexual assault or drug use Wouldn't any potion, including potions of healing, be considered "drug use"? Howabout excessive drinking by dwarves at a tavern i…

> Well, unless public healthcare, then it 'hurts' all tax payers No, it also hurts private insurance customers( in the US ). Healthy weight people, and those who exercise are subsi…

> take over the microphone and address a room with 500 people in it I'm not sure this has anything to do with introversion. Speech and debate clubs are filled with introverts. The …

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"Passion" is an overused term, but it's absolutely clear that developers who love what they do are nearly an order of magnitude better than those who are punching the clock. In a v…

You might also be oblivious to what depression IS, because clinical psychologists are, as well. Depression is a cluster of symptoms, for all intents and purposes. There is some evi…

Men are overrepresented at both ends of nearly all bell curves. Men have fatter tails in most distributions you can think of. More presidents, but also more suicides. You are effec…

She worked briefly at Amazon, and she was an accountant. She did not work on critical technology, logistics, growth strategy, design, or operations. There is no world in which she …

Denial policy should be very very simple: If you're seeking coverage for lung cancer, but you chose to smoke, denied. If you're seeking coverage for type II diabetes, but you weigh…

Bear in mind that a "1 million token" context window isn't actually that. You're being sold a sparse attention model, which is guaranteed to drop critical context. Google TPUs aren…

> Connections, social intelligence, and knowing how to work the system is what moves things in Washington You're not wrong, but this is a normative observation. The question is, is…

Yes, because Polymarket offers sports markets, which are still illegal in the US (for US users, anyway). Kalshi has been careful to offer markets in basically everything except spo…

These markets are no more "gambling" than other markets are. A traditional sportsbook maintains a house vig anywhere from 5 to 15%, which is, indeed, a pretty fast path to ruin. Th…

> Feels less combative than Twitter. Echo chambers are, by default, less combative. As Twitter becomes more hiveminded, you can expect it to become less combative, as well.