Viewing profile — breuleux

If you’re only running models for frontier capabilities, yeah. For tasks where current models are smart enough, running them 100x faster is the most impactful improvement you can m…

If the ASIC runs a model 100x better (faster, cheaper, less energy, etc.), it will remain competitive on any task for which frontier models don't improve as quickly. Any task for w…

> Good governance takes intelligence. True, but that doesn't mean intelligence is the bottleneck of good governance. Good governance also requires simple, plain brute force. You ha…

That is true, but that suggests that the value of software is reverting to the value of a jig. Software that gets deployed to millions of people gets a large valuation because it p…

There is no "evidence" that anything has consciousness, nor could there be. To clarify, by that I don't mean nothing is conscious, I mean that it's never been an evidence-based pro…

Why, exactly, is this distinction relevant? The brain must store episodic memory somewhere too. From a cursory read, it seems to me that our experiences are processed through the h…

> We have absolutely no idea what consciousness is We do, in the sense that it is a definite feeling. What we don't have is a formal, objective, checkable definition of it. I suspe…

Is it? Genuine question. Say you didn't do these things at all -- what would that change to your life? Are you gaining productivity in high-impact things, or stuff that might scrat…

The phrase was in an episode of The Office prior to that. I think it's fairly old.

Yeah... savage capitalism will ruin this too :'(

> even though I have faster models available I still go to Fable or GPT-5.6 90% of the time What about all the things you don't currently use an LLM for? If a specialized chip can …

Part of the issue with "shipping" AI-generated code is, what's the value of shipping something that your prospective customers could just make for themselves? Shipping a product us…

Maybe, maybe not. The point is that you can't simply will energy into existence. Its availability, including the ease of exploitation, is a physical given. Which is true of resourc…

> I'm assuming also, anything like a paper with data, can also be questioned in the same way. Don't object, I've seen that done. Unless you've seen me do it, I don't see why I can'…

> I didn't mean to include science fiction authors, or extreme futurists. Science fiction authors are quite influential, and I don't think they were the only ones either. I expect …

> We have advanced tremendously over the past 200 years Would most of that have happened if we hadn't found oil, though? It's difficult to precisely identify how much of progress i…

> Literally, things everyone said would take 30 or 100 years, happen within months. "Everyone"? Plenty of people in the 50s said we'd have sentient humanoid robots before the year …

I mean, unironically, yeah. If you want flavor, just mix jam in your plain yogurt.

I just see it as a way to highlight the absurdity. They're heavily implying they won't buy books on Amazon anymore in the next paragraph: > So it looks as though this move — both m…

I don't think there's good evidence that it directly jumps to truth. The aim of betting on a prediction market is to earn money. This incentivizes you to bet on whatever you believ…

> unless you control the stack down to the hardware, it's basically a one way ticket to eternal slavery Only if mind uploads are economically viable, which I doubt they ever will b…

> Our biology is ridiculously optimized. Like 6-7 orders of magnitude more energy efficient than current day AI/computation stack. It's plausible that AI can never outperform us at…

I suppose. I think it depends on your tooling somewhat. I mean, looking at the feature article, Bonsai lets you define TUI elements with an HTML-inspired syntax -- so if you're usi…

> and then there's just TUIs, which look retrocool and run blazing fast, and are really easy to write I mean, I don't even think that's true. Many TUIs are bloated, dogshit slow, a…

The point is more that you can well imagine a future where AI is both better and cheaper than humans at basically all types of work, leading to a situation where we would be entire…