Viewing profile — bowaggoner

I enjoyed the comment. You might like my short story along the same lines from a few years ago: https://bowaggoner.com/writeups/robust.html

This project is more on the academic side -- disclaimer, I was involved in it, but it's led by Justin Harris at Microsoft Research: "Sharing Updatable Models on Blockchain" https:/…

I respect that perspective, but did you know that Signal uses a private protocol so that your contacts are never sent to their servers? https://signal.org/blog/private-contact-disc…

That's one big problem for sure. Another is when the information is costly to gather, and there is a Schelling point for people without the information. For example, we all get in …

Prediction markets also exist for non-binary events, whether a finite set of outcomes, countably infinite, continuous, or beyond. Instead, the problem is they still require an orac…

Should have asked for a dot "somewhere" on the page.

Oops, thanks!

Thanks, added!

Hi all, seems like a slow news day so thought you might enjoy this little page. Comments, suggestions, discussion, criticism welcome!

Great point! We ultimately felt (and this is above my paygrade) that it was outside the scope of what we were asked to explore/recommend. So we avoided suggesting taxes that drasti…

Thanks for the reply - interesting concern. By analogy, I don't think putting taxes on cigarettes means the state will try to get more people to smoke. I also think it depends on h…

Very nice article! Last year I was part of a working group on a data dividend proposal for the state of California, which you can read about at https://www.datadividends.org/ . Our…

Hi all, we are a couple CS researchers and made this game purely for people to have fun. It's designed to be accessible to anyone who has never heard of a prediction market. In fac…

(Submitter) Hi all, my friend and I are researchers in game theory and computer science. We wanted to make a site where people could have fun predicting Game of Thrones outcomes, w…

Unfortunately no video, sorry. Glad you find it interesting!

You're right and we're on the same page about the solution. The reasoning behind my comment of "interesting" is that formula you gave is not well-defined for p=infinity, although w…

Unfortunately MathJax is a bit large and nontrivial to host yourself. And it recently switched to being hosted on cloudfare instead of mathjax.org. I struggled with this choice mys…

Hmm, that example is really interesting. I think you're right once we formalize L_infinity, because the goal will be to minimize the maximum possible distance. But the other scores…

There is a much wider generalization here which is studied under the name of "property elicitation" in computer science, machine learning, and statistics. The generic question is: …

Both terms are fluid. Most theoretical computer science research is essentially mathematics, at a high enough level. Some wouldn't necessarily call themselves mathematicians unless…

CS as practiced today contains elements of math, engineering, and the sciences (though rarely at the same time). I have a bit on this you might find interesting: http://bowaggoner.…

Thanks - I took out a bunch of extraneous transition slides (except in one place where I think it's helpful to see).