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bayesian_horse

HN member
Joined
Fri, Apr 15, 2016, 8:25 AM UTC
HN karma
3,481
Public activity
2,929 items

About bayesian_horse

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Recent public activity

  1. comment
    Comment #35724559

    I just tried deleting my account. Which isn't possible, counter to best practice and even many data privacy laws (not in california I guess). But I'm logging out and using a new ac…

  2. comment
    Comment #35724530

    No more dissent. Got it. I would encourage a ban. I will just make another account. I get that I should reduce some of the "flame war" stuff but I think this is one-sided.

  3. comment
    Comment #35724520

    Bullshit argument. How would such a cleanup even work? The claim that the Fukushima clean up is excessive is completely pulled out of someones ass. What would be the rationale? You…

  4. comment
    Comment #35717450

    The Chinese ramp up in nuclear power is fairly decent. Give them time. Unfortunately I don't think they will have more luck in terms of safety, rather the opposite... The Fukushima…

  5. comment
    Comment #35717422

    And most of them are not a commercial reality or viable option for at least a decade or so...

  6. comment
    Comment #35717383

    The group-think around nuclear power on HN is indistinguishable from religious fervor and doesn't agree with average public opinions in any countries I know of. Certainly not Germa…

  7. comment
    Comment #35717365

    That "minor nuclear incident" required a clean up that still isn't finished and already ran up a tab of about a trillion Dollars. Pro-nuclear propaganda tries to focus on "only" on…

  8. comment
    Comment #35717334

    "Flexible generation" also means coal and gas... So it is not an elusive technology. Neither are hydro power plants which can be varied in their output.

  9. comment
    Comment #35717287

    Nuclear power projects are not just over-budget, they start off with a budget of a couple of billions, whereas individual solar or wind power projects are way smaller and therefor …

  10. comment
    Comment #35717196

    To be in favor of nuclear power you need to ignore the fat tail risk structure. And nuclear power proponents are using plenty of lies. Like the one where the only alternative to nu…

  11. comment
    Comment #35717123

    Once you do any of the sort, nuclear power loses the rest of its cost advantage (if there is any to begin with).

  12. comment
    Comment #35717115

    Most dams carry way more risk and way higher benefits.

  13. comment
    Comment #35717094

    Because nuclear power projects are never finished on time and within budget. Partly for political reasons (as in: People really don't like it), partly because engineers suck at est…

  14. comment
    Comment #35717021

    Bullshit. Germany is still a decade or two away from needing energy storage to even out renewable power peaks. Until then, all the capacity provided by renewable sources reduces th…

  15. comment
    Comment #35716958

    [flagged]

  16. comment
    Comment #35716936

    Of course running below maximum output drives up cost. Are you disagreeing with basic math? Consumption of fuel is not the main cost of a nuclear power plant, and even if you shut …

  17. comment
    Comment #35716900

    How is it immaterial to build twice as many nuclear power plants as necessary instead of using energy storage? You'd have to believe battery storage is way more expensive than an i…

  18. comment
    Comment #35716864

    You can't prove a long term trend via short term observation. That's kindergarden level...

  19. comment
    Comment #35716818

    My point is actually that the risk of coal is calculable and the risk of nuclear is not. And if you provide any estimate, it is most certainly wrong, because it is based on false a…

  20. comment
    Comment #35716754

    [flagged]

  21. comment
    Comment #35713595

    I don't believe people are special.

  22. comment
    Comment #35713593

    You're still lying about the alternatives to nuclear power. You are still underestimating the impact of a nuclear disaster. You are still underestimating the risk of a nuclear disa…

  23. comment
    Comment #35712733

    Those voices just weren't there and it is plenty easy and convenient to say "I was concerned way before everybody else knew of the problem."

  24. comment
    Comment #35712716

    Your arguments are fueled by a lack of understanding. Ramping down renewables is lots faster and easier. The stability argument is just populistic bullshit. Plausible on the surfac…

  25. comment
    Comment #35712660

    In practice you don't. Nobody wants to transition to renewables over night. And so far it works quite well.