Viewing profile — bart_spoon

No statistical methods do, Bayesian or frequentist. That’s the definition of a black swan, it’s something completely out of the data set and therefore can’t be forecasted.

What might that look like in this situation? A user goes to play Spotify and it responds with “No” and shuts itself down? I generally agree with you that endless content consumptio…

Their job is to manage their teams and initiatives. If they are unable to determine why an initiative fails or how their teams are performing, it means they are incapable of doing …

That doesn’t seem like a sustainable alternative. In the case you are describing, the productivity boost is highly dependent on actually having the right people within ear reach. Y…

If the AI is being judged as a winner, than by definition isn’t it superior to the typical human produced content, at least in this case? Seems like the opposite of enshittificatio…

Measure twice, cut once

They aren’t trying to become the best at something, they are trying to maximize the ROI of their time.

The more I’ve looked at DSPy, the less impressed I am. The design of the project is very confusing with non-sensical, convoluted abstractions. And for all the discussion surroundin…

And yet just today I read an article about how more than half of tech CEOs now are allowing workers to work fully remote if the choose, which is up from closer to 35% a year ago. I…

The public sentiment in those cities regarding immigration has completely flipped from the moment the buses started arriving. They were loudly in favor of refusing to enforce immig…

If they opposed skilled immigration, there wouldn’t be a lottery at all, there would be 0 visas allocated.

It’s shocking to me that the argument that consistently gets trotted out as to why we should accept illegal immigration is that they perform jobs too dangerous and poorly paid for …

There is an important distinction between anti-immigration policies and anti-illegal immigration policies. I don’t know of many politicians who are against immigration of any kind.…

More than just Nashville, they have hospitals all over the country.

Can you think of a single location on Earth where the land was originally claimed in a free market?

No, the foreman like character in Hardspace has a heavy Southern accent and the soundtrack has a western tone

I think that pittance of calories is only the surface benefit. Consistent activity keeps your metabolism much higher, meaning you burn more calories throughout the day even when yo…

Japanese people fry all kinds of food. They have plenty of soda as well, and there are plenty of Americans who struggle with obesity despite not drinking much soda. It 100% has to …

Yes, I lived in Japan for a few years and those are the exact same two conclusions I came to, with the only additional one being much less added sugar/high fructose corn syrup. Foo…

I think I got into reading the most when I hit about 3rd or 4th grade. I think 8-9 years is when the reading possibilities really open up for kids. Its around that time I and many …

Agreed. In video games, "innovation" quickly becomes "niche". Microsoft actually has a wider variety of games and genres represented on the Xbox, many highly praised, but frequentl…

I've recently come to the same realization. I've always considered myself a more short-distance athlete, having been a sprinter and played more "burst" sports in high-school like f…

The purpose of the Light Phone is to detach oneself from the unnecessary, time-consuming features of smartphones. There are approaches to this that are simply apps, and they are po…

Fentanyl, human trafficking, and identity theft can all be quite lucrative as well. Externalities matter. A high revenue stream does not equate to high benefit to society.

Do 95% of the world's river-adjacent population live along those rivers? That's the question to be asking.