Viewing profile — amurale

I take the IFR (infection fatality rate) for age For example, IFR(age [0] https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/laninf/PIIS1473-3099...

You're correct about long term harm, I lumped them together. A better formula would be: P(covid death or long term harm) since my estimate is they're about the same order of magnit…

Let's see... it's a calculus of death vs potential long term adverse effect: P(death) I'd take the vaccine in a heartbeat, long term effects and all, if P(death) was 10% or higher.…

> No one developed severe Covid-19 > No one developed severe adverse effects (yet) There is a reason vaccine trials normally take several years. I'll wait until we're a few years i…

Something like that. Evolution = natural variation + natural selection. In any given population there is natural variation: fastest moth, hairiest moth, whitest moth, etc. After ev…