Viewing profile — alex_sf

Intelligence per unit of compute will almost certainly keep increasing. That doesn't mean having more compute isn't still way, way better.

My agent is currently doing the work of ~6 senior engineers, based on ticket closures. These are not trivial tasks: all of them involve a mix of code, judgement, executing remote c…

> 1. that closed source models are more efficient than open source Not a reasonable assumption for a variety of reasons. > 2. Deepseek is served at a profit and not a loss Not a re…

It's silicon valley and they are trying to aggressively grow. Your baseline assumption should be the exact opposite.

There's no reason to think that the latest frontier models have similar inference costs to open source models. It would be more surprising if the surrounding architecture hasn't si…

The price a company charges, _particularly_ a high growth VC-backed one, is a poor signal for their costs. That blog post is not very compelling either. Without knowing details of …

I mean, they do (and did). If you aren't shipping, you'll be out eventually.

"shape" too, at least with gpt5.5, is coming up constantly.

> It is in the same way that educated guessing is. I guess (heh) it depends on your definition of 'educated guessing'? Looking at the problem, considering a solution, discarding it…

This isn't brute force.

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Open models, in actual practice, don't match up to even one or two generation prior models from Anthropic/OpenAI/Google. They've clearly been trained on the benchmarks. Entirely po…

Which is why compilers decimated the software industry.

The same way companies already deal with any cost.

Most people just want something that looks nice. I understand it’s deeper to someone really into it, but the rest of us are fine with it.

Everytime I've tried a local model, and I have tried lots for a couple years now, they just seem like they were overtrained on benchmarks. They consistently perform dramatically wo…

> Europe is behind because we do not have good leadership. The decisions taken by leadership, no matter what level you look at - local, company, national, supranational - are rarel…

This isn't buried or hard to find, but in good faith: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ODNI-Un... https://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/congressional-testimo..…

> Saying "Accidents happen in war" is absolutely a way of saying "Accidents are acceptable in war". Bridges fall down sometimes. I don't think it's acceptable. It's a statement of …

It's both.

If goods aren't being sold, then the price will drop.

That's not worth 45k. It's barely worth anything for a typical website, tbh.

Tbf, there is no one with a ‘serious DevSecOps background’. It’s an incredibly strong hint that the person is largely a goof.

> Ralph loops are also stupid because they don't make use of kv cache properly. This is a cost/resources thing. If it's more effective and the resources are available, it's complet…

> If you are not too tired, drunk or using any substances, and not speeding, your chances of causing a serious traffic accident are miniscule. You realize that like.. other people …