Viewing profile — akrolsmir

Agreed re: automatically running Pangram, maybe once the articles hit some vote threshold (or just, frontpage) in case cost is a concern. I think aggregators running AI checks auto…

Hey! Surplus is a new incubator I'm organizing, partly as a love letter to early YC. A specific, early YC that I’ve only experienced vicariously: first through PG’s essays, more re…

Hey! I'm Austin; I'm building better funding mechanisms at Manifund. One kind of grant I'm intrigued by are retroactive grants -- payment for good work, already accomplished. Vacci…

Austin from Manifold here - cool to see this trending! I thought the structure of this prediction market was especially cool, as it forms a collaborative, crowdsourced puzzle chall…

Yeah! I think of Metaculus vs Manifold a bit like NYT vs Twitter -- or to borrow another analogy, lawful good vs chaotic evil. But we're both great places to think about the future…

I don't have any special insight into what happened at Oragenics (my full context on this application includes what's listed at the link, plus a short call with Aaron about his fun…

Yeah, agreed that the proposal has a whiff of "too good to be true". The applicant's track record looks fairly good, though (he's previously invested in my startup, Manifold Market…

Oh wow -- totally didn't expect one of our grant proposals to be trending on HN! I'm Austin, cofounder at Manifund; we just launched our regranting program last week ( https://foru…

Austin from Manifold here -- the actions and fallout from the Whales vs Minnows market definitely led to some soul-searching on our team and among our community. I'm grateful that …

Hey! Austin from Manifold here, thanks for the links! I wanted to note that our novel mechanism which we've termed "Maniswap" is indeed pretty cool, but for most intents and purpos…

Hey! Curious to get your thoughts on this. My girlfriend is interested in trying out more web programming; she's taken a couple of classes in C++ but no html/css/js yet. It's been …

Hey! I like the idea of this a lot; oftentimes in team standups, I feel our discussions would benefit from a clear issue owner, as well as the space for others to give feedback. I …

We do have an API to make this pretty simple! Check out https://docs.manifold.markets/api And a not-so-secret endpoint where you can use URL params to prepopulate the question fiel…

Manifold Markets | Software & UX Eng | REMOTE | Full Time | https://mni.fo/jobs Manifold Markets is a platform for user-created prediction markets. Our goal is to create the larges…

Hi HN! We were inspired by Radical Markets to set up a Harberger Tax on all our leaderboard spots. This means that instead of trying to make good predictions in our markets in the …

Hi! Austin from Manifold here. I'm glad you've found Manifold to be really cool, and want to share it with the world! At the same time, I'm a bit worried this falls afoul of the of…

Yeah - we do store foreign keys, but Firestore only supports fetching a batch of 10 keys at a time afaict. It might just be the wrong tool, like you said. We do very much want real…

We've started on Firebase Cloud Functions, but lately I've been interested in moving our serverless stack to Vercel's functions instead - the developer experience is much better (n…

Yeah - Supabase would be my leading bet, if we had to pick a Postgres variant. Would be especially excited for their GraphQL plugin becomes ready: https://supabase.com/blog/2021/12…