Viewing profile — ajafari1

Will Tesla, Waymo, Cruise, or some other company be first to mass commercialize robs-taxis? What are your thoughts?

Many people think the company with the best AI will win the self-driving race. However, AI is only one of many competencies needed for success. Winning is about taking a holistic a…

I updated the post to make it more clear, thanks for feedback. Entire movie? 75% chance sometime this decade. 25% early next decade.

It was discussed in the prior post: https://aifuture.substack.com/p/the-ai-battle-rages-on

Every once in a while a revolutionary technology comes along that changes everything. While entrepreneurs are focused on Deep Learning applications, futurists are focused on artifi…

OpenAI estimates that Github’s Copilot can already complete 37% of coding tasks. DeepMind’s AlphaCode is estimated to be 59% better at coding competitions than Codex. Will automati…

I see where you are going and may I suggest this thought experiment: let's say there is a team of 4 developers. AI automates 50% of their work, but there is still a lot of fine-tun…

Yes, you correctly point out that high cost is a big factor. The other factor in why labor-intensive jobs are difficult, is that robotics has lagged far behind AI software. Even if…

OpenAI estimates that Codex (what powers Github’s Copilot) can already complete 37% of coding tasks. DeepMind’s non-commercial AlphaCode is estimated to be 59% better at coding com…

I wrote about this happening two days ago on my sub stack post, "OpenAI will start charging businesses for images based on how many images they request. Just like Amazon Web Servic…

Not correct. They have a for-profit entity now. That's why there is a huge incentive to monetize. Any for-profit investment gain is capped at 100x, with the rest required to go to …

That's the common counterpoint, but is there 50x the demand for developers? I work in tech and I know how hard pressed people are for developer talent but it is not more than a cou…

Nice! You were very close. With any exponential curve, it takes forever to get to point A, but once there, it's an immediate job to point Z.

And a strategic way for OpenAI to garner more than 1M business and people on their waitlist as I outline in the article.

We are moving too fast to put in adequate safeguards unfortunately. Demis Hassabis, founder of DeepMind, recently mentioned something interesting on a Lex Fridman interview. They a…

Right on. When do you expect a productized AI that can replace your average skilled programmer?

Exactly. Any content writer AI, developer AI, graphic designer AI just has to be good enough to cause an economic labor shift. There are plenty of non big tech companies that want …

I do believe AI alignment and safety is a huge concern, and unfortunately thinks are moving so fast there is not enough time for society to adapt. However, if we can safeguard that…