Viewing profile — aiforecastthway

A lot of the comments here are talking about startups. But the chart in the article is the forward P/E of the top 10 companies in the S&P. For reference, those 10 companies are: Nv…

I do not think I have ever spent more than an hour per visit actually in the room with my GP. I have an annual checkup. For a while there my GP was world class and also a blood rel…

> If I can output the same quality at a faster rate of speed, why can't I have that time back to my own life now? We have done a terrible job at allocating the net benefits of glob…

Update: on appeal, the government is sticking to its original argument (see page 15 of the motion). So it appears that on appeal the government continues to believe the path of lea…

In this case, age is not what disqualifies the law. Rather, what renders the law inapplicable to this situation is some combination of: 1. another statute that super-cedes the 1930…

> why wouldn't the trump admin use the tariff act of 1930? Probably because they knew it'd be a losing argument. The court that authored this slip opinion would be unlikely to be p…

I have never heard the term "Hackathon" used in any context other than a recruiting/sales event targeted at early-career types. Meatspace get-togethers focused on hacking, either f…

> Are you saying that while a company would be responsible (current laws), an employee should not because of free speech?? (proposed law) Absolutely. Circumscribing liability in ci…

> It drives me crazy when people make argument like this without pointing to the actual legislation. The first sentence of the article reads "A bill set to be heard by the Judiciar…

> t-boned by a lifted F-350. I'm not sure how a Ranger would fair getting t-boned by a lifted F-350... I think the bigger problem for these smaller cars are the (much more numerous…

Top500 is weird for lots of reasons. It over-indexes on a few peculiar types of workloads and a few peculiar types of users (mostly gov). Historically, those workloads and users we…

Car dealership owners are a staple of state legislatures for a reason.

I'd bet the Tundras get similar in practice. They're rated higher but the turbo is practically always-on in stop and go traffic.

The Prediction Market industry got out ahead of regulation and effectively chose their own (weak and hands-off) regulator in the CFTC. The requirements involved are not onerous. Th…

Polymarket could've easily registered as an exchange at any point in the last 4+ years, and then itself filed the suit that its competitors filed. Instead they chose to just ignore…

1. We do have prediction markets -- Kalshi, IB, and Robinhood all offered binary options contracts on election outcomes this year. 2. A ton of options trading is gambling, and bina…

> would like to point out that there has recently been an interest in HF spectrum for use shaving milliseconds off the ping of high-frequency trading firms, since skipping off the …

> I'm not an emcomm whacker but I think that take is too dismissive. Ham radio was a much more viable for emergency communications before cell phones, Internet, and FRS/GMRS/MURS. …

The emergency response use-case feels SUPER contrived to me. I am not aware of any SAR teams in our area using HAM radios, and the only group I know of that does is... so old that …

Suppose you're Sam, the CEO of a company that spends a TON on customer service -- both customer/client-facing and internal HR processing and so on. Suppose Sam wants to automate th…

> Just go to a law library. The closest with a copy of the Federal Appendix is ~2 hrs away from me (or on LN if I pay for a subscription). It should be free and online, because it …

No, I think we agree! Google SWE roles will be automated faster SWE roles in the financial sector :)

> It’s not clear to me why we’re still trying to encode all of human knowledge in a single model, instead of teaching the model how to look for answers from an external source (e.g…

Boring is the opposite of exciting/dynamic. Not all engineering is boring. Also, boring is not bad. A lot of my career has been spent working to make software boring. To the extent…