Viewing profile — adamandsteve

There's a The issue is that the odds aren't actually 50/50 on you buying either side of the trade; one half will look like a better deal (and given public information, it is a bett…

"The community" is astroturfed as hell though. Anthropic pays influencers to promote Claude Code and likely bots a ton as well, so it's hard to come to any kind of consensus online…

This has to be bait.

Being good at predicting the future will give you only a slight edge, so even a small amount of inside trading can make you unprofitable.

> Why do we need a third party gambling apparatus involved? Wisdom of crowds > wisdom of individual firms, also a market solution actually would work in this case imo. Manipulating…

Between these I think Amazon is less bad. It's a monopoly & monopsony which causes a lack of innovation and (eventually) higher prices but it's also a much more efficient way to se…

Prediction markets are far, far more slippery. Anyone working at one of these places had other options & chose to sell their morals so I think it's perfectly reasonable to not hire…

I kind of agree, but presumably this would happen more among people maintaining security-critical projects. In that case it'd be a net positive for other projects to get infected f…