Viewing profile — abstractmath

similar to how Anthropic released Claude 4 shortly after the Sam & Jony announcement. it's super competitive, which should be good for innovation, but there's also significant ince…

The interesting and important question is what are the priors. Since all of the priors here are speculative, there’s no use in pulling out Bayes. The outcome given Bayes is the sam…

I’m not arguing that laying people off is nearly as hard as getting laid off. I’m arguing against the idea that if you’re a manager or have money, that moments like this are easy o…

Look at the companies on http://layoffs.fyi Lots of small and medium sized companies, and I know for some that it was not their last move before going under. We had a hiring boom d…

> Large corporations are insane. Every small and medium company would wait to do layoffs until it threatened the business. Some even until after that point This is super idealized.…

But both of your assumptions imply the conclusion, so the math doesn’t actually seem helpful at all.

Have you ever managed or led people? Did you find it easier or harder than when you didn’t manage people? Have you ever laid someone off or fired them? Was it so easy?

I'm on a mission to improve mental health, and I'm conducting a survey to better understand the problem and solution space. Here's the survey: https://duf1rbk6mma.typeform.com/to/W…