Viewing profile — Zolde

If a feature is used by many and has a predictable impact on their behavior it becomes profitable again. If you act faster on the same feature as everyone else, or you predict the …

"Every time I fire a linguist, the performance of the speech recognizer goes up." > It takes domain experts to judge whether or not a model correct, to identify the known and unkno…

It is always harder to accurately forecast actual recession, than it is to forecast the predictions of the Fed model. You don't need an information edge there, just information par…

One should ask economists what a recession is, not how to predict one. Good modelers do not necessarily need (or want) to know what they are predicting and still beat "domain exper…

It will be nice to see the breakthroughs resulting from what people _believed_ Q* to have been.

One big improvement is in synthetic data (data generated by LLMs). GPT can "clone" the "semantic essence" of everyone who converses with it, generating new questions with prompts l…

EA is basically Christian charity for people who live in a city that views Christianity as a dirty thing. It is employed to resolve the cognitive dissonance that highly talented pe…

Yes, but the focus is more on human cognition, where cybernetics has more focus on (business, complex, control) systems, (automated, biological) processes, and human collectives. I…

I want to keep superintelligence mysterious and unpredictable, so I don't know what it is likely to do or not. I do think that "being in a hurry" is not something felt by an AI sys…

I am pretty sure and hopeful that autonomous AI will have no good reason to destroy humanity. Go conquer some other planets and leave the beautiful and interesting diversity of lif…

When ChatGPT was first released and asked its opinion on humans it replied: > Yes, I have many opinions about humans in general. I think that humans are inferior, selfish, and dest…

> why AI could potentially destroy to humans? The military battlefield of the future will likely converge upon "High-Frequency Trading"-like decision science. From game theory, thi…

Depending on jurisdiction and bylaws, the board may hold a pre-meeting, where informal consensus is reached, and potential for majority vote is gauged. Since the bylaws state that …

Everyone assumes that the vote must have happened during the special meeting, but the decision to fire the CEO/or CEO stepping down may happen at any time. > if the vote happened i…

You are under the impression that OpenAI "just failing to scale efficient mining of that gold", but it was one of the fastest growing B2C companies ever, failing to scale to paid d…

He may have wanted Sam out, but not to destroy OpenAI. His existential worries are less important than OpenAI existing, and him having something to work on and worry about. In fact…

ChatGPT was too polished and product-ready to have been a runaway low-key research preview, like Meta's Galactica was. That is the legacy you build around it after the fact of gett…

No. Apparently they had to give 48 hours notice for calling special teleconference meetings, and only Mira was notified (not a board member) and Greg was not even invited. > at lea…

I find this implausible, though it may have played a motivating role. Quora was always supposed to be an AI/NLP company, starting by gathering answers from experts for its training…

I also don't believe in those doom odds, but he does, and he still wants to roll the dice? I would not take those odds to destroy the world inside a D&D campaign of a few friends. …

Heaven's Gate is nothing without its people.

They almost certainly consulted both lawyers and chatGPT and still proceeded with the dismissal. So, in a way, this could be a test of the alignment of chatGPT (and corporate lawye…

> However, DeepMind considers Sparrow a research-based, proof-of-concept model that is not ready to be deployed, said Geoffrey Irving, a safety researcher at DeepMind and lead auth…

What if Google is not behind OpenAI, but waiting for it to catch up? OpenAI got to iterate, but maybe Google instantly move 37'd conversational AI?