Viewing profile — Matticus_Rex

Contrived false positives and negatives could (and should!) always be possible. That doesn't tell us anything about the natural false positive and negative rates, and a lot of peop…

He's talking about the interconnection queue. You see the 100MW of solar they're wiring up, but not the hundreds of gigawatts in the queue.

That's what was thought, but maybe not -- only one of the three so far looks Epicurean, which is not what was expected. Maybe it's a fluke, but historians are buzzing a bit about w…

I'm sure that level of overhead has nothing to do with the reason Belgian incomes, standards of living, and business outcomes are worse.

IIRC ERCOT estimated from their experience it was something like 85% on average?

Except there's lots of competition for creating that surplus, including from open source locally-hosted LLMs, and while it's behind the frontier it's not that far behind the fronti…

Generating huge consumer surpluses as a business strategy? Awesome if true.

You don't know the actual margins -- you only know the API rate. If their API rate has huge margins and the average subscriber isn't coming anywhere close to their limits, the subs…

> But if you allow fracking on your “property” then you will be left with poisoned aquifers and empty of substance. So it's analogous to the mythical bogeyman version of what frack…

It'd have been interesting for them to discuss it, but from what I understand it looks like MCAS is probably an entirely separate thing (that can also be triggered by COVID), but b…

I'm sure there are things local models are good enough at in non-coding work, but for anything complex I do not find this to be the case. I'd say local models are fairly capable of…

Again, you can grant this and a huge number of agriculture subsidies still aren't justified. People have an instinctive defensiveness over farms/farmers, but anyone who has studied…

Even if one grants this, it does not make the case that any particular set of subsidies is justified by that reasoning.

If you were to keep reading in Hannah's post, you'd find the reasoning.

Andy Masley does some plausible estimates here based on the data we have that puts 50 prompts per day at around 5kg CO2e/year: https://www.andymasley.com/writing/whats-the-full-hid…

We use about two orders of magnitude more water (each!) on corn and alfalfa than on data centers as of 2023, and while we're ramping data centers up fast, it'll still be an order o…

If our water rights system required farmers to actually pay anything approaching market rates for the water they used, it actually would be a serious answer! Farmers grow alfalfa i…

Hmm? There are a number of top AI people who make this exact point, though, and are trying to drive things toward elevating thinking. There's more that can be done, but quite a bit…

Was this a surprise?

But does it work? and well?

No, not at all. You're taxed on equity at fair market value when it vests. It's only after that when you get taxed at a lower rate on the capital gains.

Depends on the size of the house and both the flooring and the foundation. Just before that the article mentions that a structural engineer was consulted and said it was fine, and …

$200M is >2% ARR at the last numbers we got from them, and would take them back... checks notes ... literally only a few days of ARR growth.

There were something like six different stated intentions, most of which were entirely mutually-exclusive. Replacing income taxes was always the least credible of them.

SCOTUS left it unspecified, but the refund would go to the payer, legally.