Viewing profile — Jensson

It only works until people try to withdraw money that doesn't exist. The less people believe the earlier that happens, but it will happen sooner or later.

Physics possibly.

If you market your hammer as an all purpose tool, yes. If LLM are worse than humans at predicting data it is valid to wonder why, you could think they would be better at it since t…

Yes, and good senior software engineer is ahead of fable, but benchmarks can't capture that either. We already know from testing humans that test scores don't correlate that well w…

There is high rate of progress in specific domains, not high rate of progress in generalness. The models haven't gotten generally smarter, for things they didn't focus on the model…

You aren't contradicting the person.

> Do you rely on the surrounding plants and animals in your area for sustenance, creating tools, daily life, etc? Europeans did that a few hundred years ago, almost everyone did al…

> They’re saying that a lot of indigenous culture and practice was more sustainable Europe seems very sustainable to me, people have been living there for thousands of years and ar…

You know there were lived experiences of black people who didn't mind being slaves as well and were able to roam freely? There is a reason we don't just go by anecdotes, anecdotall…

Every population grow to where they barely can support themselves, including Australian natives. It doesn't matter what you do, until we got good contraceptives starvation was a fa…

No, the argument is that the best person cannot overestimate his own rank, and the worst person cannot underestimate it. The better you are the less room there is for you to overes…

The graph of random data looks like that since its capped. The first place person cannot overestimate his position, and the bottom place person cannot underestimate his position. S…

Psych 101 says stuff like people being more willing to accept a date with a person after a scary experience since they mistake their quick beating heart for love, rather than human…

Right, the CoT training step does work a bit more like normal training. But those do produce some very weird results, if you look at the "thoughts" CoT training leads to, I wouldn'…

Hard in "hard science" doesn't mean hard as in difficulty, it means hard as in not soft. Soft sciences are difficult to explore since they aren't rigid, they move around as you pro…

My experience with every person was that most of them overestimate what they know regardless of experience level. You just notice that more in new grads since its easier to tell wh…

Humans learn to be a next token predictor as a kid when they learn to speak, an LLM cannot learn to be a next token predictor or anything of the sort, we have no clue how you could…

> transforming an input into an output based on what inputs that part of the brain has previously been exposed to You changed the definition there, for it to be like an LLM it shou…

No, brains doesn't just try to mimic pasts signals, LLMs do that but brains doesn't. The way they make LLM solve problems is by adding a lot of logical jumps into its data, or brea…

> I suspect what is much more likely meant, is that token predictors cannot be smart, not now nor in the future after improvements, because they are token predictors and predicting…

> Solves what? Chess? No thats not AI, its just a chess bot. Turing test? No, thats not AI, its just a dumb token predictor. You are moving the goalpost here if you think the chess…

LLM doesn't just produce output as a function, they are much more specific: they predict text based on text they have been trained on.

> The narrative the brain makes up after the fact for why we did something is not perfectly correlated with the actual reason But it does that introspection, we evolved to make it.…

You have introspection, you can see a part of your thoughts, you know how that introspective part works since its what we call consciousness, you are conscious about it. That intro…

But brains do much more than just predict tokens based on previously seen tokens. I think all the other things brains do are probably important for our intelligence. So, LLM are ju…