Viewing profile — AntonStratiev

Many jurisdictions around the world are already planning that all students will need to repeat the year, at least for those in the final year of school who wish to sit SATs (etc). …

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A significant portion of the population will be reduced to poverty, but at least we can keep as many elderly alive as possible.

And the survival rate is only 3% to 20% for COVID-19 specifically, based on data from Wuhan, following patients for a month. Long-term mortality will be even less. https://www.thel…

https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1240689935557865472 Details a study on a different Coronavirus in 1990. There is definitely some immunity, but its complicated.

Not only that, but the population of Taiwan itself is shrinking and aging rapidly. The fertility rate is only 1.13. Eventually, there just won't be enough Taiwanese engineers left …

We can take the age profile of Venezuela[1] and the estimated hospital rates and general virus profile from the Imperial College report[2]. Assume 80% infection, and assuming that …

Based on data from China, 97% of the people who need ventilators will die anyway: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... The Ventilator just keeps them ali…

The people who are going to die are already in very poor health. The median age of deaths in Italy is 80 from yesterday's data. [1] Previously it has been communicated that 99% of …

We should be building palliative care centres across the country, not pop-up hospitals. Pay everyone who contracts Coronavirus in the next 4 months and is refused ICU care, $100,00…

There is no need to imagine, we have the forecasts from the Imperial College report: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... There are 40 million 40-somethi…

I meant to say 'fatal cases' and have corrected the text. Thanks for pointing it out.

Its simpler than that, if we're brutally honest and scientific: the developed world had accumulated, through extensive use of modern medicine and redistributive welfare schemes, a …

Focusing on positive or negative is the wrong focus, we need to test for immunity. Those who are immune can contract the virus again in a year, but will do so without symptoms, acc…

Vaccine estimate is 18 months according to the Imperial College: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... Vaccines in human trials in the US now need to go t…

500,000 people with an average age of 79, the vast majority of whom are in poor health with existing conditions. This is what the data from Italy shows. Coronavirus is just the las…

What does a pound or a dollar even represent anymore? They are being printed and given out with little consideration to the impact. I think we are going to see hyperinflation at so…

Has anyone calculated the value of life that we are saving here? The Imperial College report had 510,000 dying in the UK under a no-action scenario. Average age lets say 79 as the …

Our national priority needs to be on testing for people who have developed an immunity: https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1240689935557865472 Who can then go on and socialise…

Introducing social distancing for the entire population comes at huge economic and social cost. It is more effective to follow these three simple measures: 1. Symptomatic cases sta…

There is no indication that 5% of the population will die. The Imperial College report finds that in a complete do-nothing scenario, 4 million Americans will die, which is only 1.2…

That would only be the case for 3 months, after which those who were most vulnerable to the virus would have perished. 2.8m Americans die annually, basically we are just seeing 1-2…

No but I am in the tens of millions of Americans who will lose their job and go bankrupt if things continue this way. I could sell my possessions and move back with my elderly pare…