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I think any new model not demonstrably maybe 20-30% over Deepseek v4 capabilities priced over the price per token of Deepseek is almost automatically deprecated as low use model (m…

Training an AGI/ASI does not requires the biggest datacenters/massive GPUs, nor it takes years already. Early algorithmic advances and narrow AGI AIs have radically shortened the r…

You're mentioning only publicly known information. The rumors mentioning radical advances behind closed doors are wild, and then you've suddenly got some stuff like deepseek or phi…

"Why lower the bar?" Because of the chance of misundertanding. Failing at acknowledging artificial general intelligence standing right next to us. An incredible risk to take in ali…

Deepseek completely changed the game. Cheap to run + cheap to train frontier LLMs are now in the menu for LOTs of organizations. Few would want to pay AI as a Service to Anthropic,…

Since frontier models evolved beyond the very basic stuff from maybe 2020, "LLM can only make predictions of word sequences" only describes a small fraction of the inner processes …

I think the concepts underlying the whole LLM technological ecosystem are currently quite new, the best they can do is to use some refurbished familiar language, somewhat aligned w…

"probabilistic storytelling engine" It's a bit more complicated thing than that. You most probably could describe it as something capable of exercising the same abilities that huma…

In Argentina, this pro-Austrian economics government which has severe limitations in terms of law, regulations, and the heavily destroyed general economy of the country, does not h…

a possible lesson to infer from this example of human cognition, would be that LLMs that can't solve the strawberry test could not be automatically less cognitive capable that anot…

Not necessarily a happy story,though

The hidden chain-of-though inside the process, from the official statement about it, I infer / suspect that it uses an unhobbled mode of the model, puts it in this special mode whe…

IT salaries began to go down right after AI popped up out of GPT2, showing up not the potential, but the evidence of much improved learning/productivy tool, well beyond the reach o…

ASI is the endgame where it is profitable to be in the OpenAI position, or even in the next first 20 market players capable of getting there a bit later. But if ASI isn't achievabl…

Claude Sonnet 3.5 at least works awesomely, you can just talk to it asking stuff, it will infer your knowledge level from your questions and start answering according to it, propos…

The industry always has information before-hand, all those AI capable datacenters aren't being built just because a hunch. It is possible that the next iteration of GPT4 level tech…

Yes, this happens, there's happening some throttling, I've seen questions like this one regarding the same issue across several LLM providers ("works faster, better, solves better …

Lots and lots words flow about this. For me, it is very simple. LLMs do a complex process, quite analog to human thinking/understanding/speaking/writing, but they're doing all thos…

Moroever, those millions of non-paying clients prompting the models are 24x7x265 working with 100% real world problems are inputing the models with valuable prompts, generating val…

nor OpenAI or any of the prompt-based AI companies actually "need" the reveneu from the services they sell, the whole point of having a public (free or not), prompt facing the enti…

Not really, China is just a step behind, in a year they will be at current US AI state-of-art, without competition, from there they'll have all the GPUs in the world to keep improv…

> If an LLM was capable of logical reasoning the prompt interfaces + smartphone apps were (from the beginning), and are ongoing training for the next iteration, they provide massiv…

> Next-token prediction cannot handle Kuhnian paradigm shifts The training datasets contain and reflect human imperfections, including implicit mistakes (which could not be fully e…

> Conflicts (such as an attempt to kill humanity) have no zero-risk moves I think the author is onto something here, probably correct. Hence, most theories of AGI doomsday relay on…

>there is a relationship between information theory and thermodynamics, and nobody, including no superintelligence, will be able to break it. The way the lesswrong people could kno…